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Argentina Beef Imports Unlikely To Lower U.S. Prices
NASHVILLE, TN – Expanding beef imports from Argentina would do little to reduce U.S. prices, according to Dr. Derrell Peel, livestock marketing specialist at Oklahoma State University Extension. In his latest analysis, Peel explains that while Argentina is the world’s fifth-largest beef exporter, its role in U.S. supply remains small — accounting for just 2.1 percent of total imports so far this year.
Argentina consumes 70–75 percent of its own beef, leaving limited export capacity. Even if the U.S. doubled 2024-level imports, Peel estimates the added volume would barely affect total U.S. beef supply and could only occur at the expense of Argentina’s domestic or other export markets. “At most, it might have a very slight — and probably undetectable — impact of moderating expected future increases in U.S. ground beef prices,” he wrote.
Most Argentine shipments are lean processing beef used for ground-beef blending — similar to Brazilian imports and far smaller in scale. Peel notes that record U.S. beef imports have already helped offset reduced domestic nonfed beef output and stabilize ground-beef prices. Still, additional tonnage from Argentina would not change the market trajectory.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Dr. Peel concludes that increased Argentine imports would have virtually no measurable effect on U.S. beef prices or herd rebuilding incentives.
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Global Ethanol Summit Highlights Aviation And Marine Fuel Potential
WASHINGTON, DC – Ethanol’s role in decarbonizing global transportation took center stage Tuesday at the Global Ethanol Summit (GES) in Washington, D.C., where industry leaders and scientists explored new frontiers in sustainable fuel applications — from jet fuel to shipping. Former U.S. Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz opened the day by emphasizing ethanol’s central role in the energy transition, calling it “the only scalable, low-carbon, affordable fuel available today.”
The day’s sessions reflected growing interest in ethanol’s compatibility with aviation, maritime, and advanced vehicle systems. Panels led by experts from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Cruise Lines International Association, and Growth Energy examined both policy and infrastructure needs for scaling ethanol-to-jet (SAF) and marine fuel production. Industry leaders noted that more than 100 million tons of ethanol are already produced annually — a figure that could double as global shipping seeks cleaner fuels.
Airline representatives from Delta, United, and Airbus said collaboration will be essential to expand sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), which currently accounts for less than 1 percent of U.S. jet fuel demand. “Every bit of that 22 billion gallons of annual jet fuel use is something the ethanol industry could eventually serve,” said Tom Michels of United Airlines.
GES concludes Wednesday with sessions focused on affordability and scaling the global bioeconomy — reinforcing the U.S. Grains & BioProducts Council’s message that ethanol remains central to both environmental progress and rural prosperity.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Bioethanol continues to gain ground as the bridge fuel connecting agriculture, aviation, and maritime industries in the global shift toward lower-carbon energy.
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Australia’s Strong Crop Outlook Adds Pressure To Global Grain Prices
NASHVILLE, TN – A bigger Australian harvest is helping swell world grain supplies and weigh on prices heading into 2026. National production for the 2025/26 season is forecast at 64.2 million tonnes, up 5.2 million tonnes or 8.8 percent from last year, supported by widespread rainfall across key grain belts. Western Australia could record its second-largest crop on record, while Queensland and northern New South Wales continue to benefit from strong soil moisture reserves.
Improved wheat and canola yields, alongside expanded barley plantings, are driving the increase, according to Rabo Research. However, Australia faces tough export competition as large crops in Russia, the European Union, and the United States add to global supply. High carryover stocks in Australia and Canada are also limiting price upside, leaving domestic wheat values under pressure even as export demand stays firm.
Barley output is on track for near-record levels, putting more focus on export pace and feed grain use in domestic livestock sectors. Canola exports to Europe may soften with stronger EU production, though reduced sunflower output elsewhere and restocking needs could support non-GM canola prices. Chinese demand for Australian canola is expected to strengthen again in 2026, improving prospects for GM varieties.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Australia’s expanding harvest and global oversupply are keeping wheat and barley prices capped, though canola markets may hold firmer on shifting oilseed demand.
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Growth Energy CEO Highlights Bioethanol’s Role In Agriculture
WASHINGTON, DC – Growth Energy CEO Emily Skor told attendees at the Global Ethanol Summit here that bioethanol’s growth is fueling both agricultural prosperity and stronger global trade ties. Speaking to representatives from more than 40 countries, Skor described bioethanol as “a high-octane, low-carbon fuel that supports farmers, strengthens economies, and saves drivers money,” while reinforcing America’s role as a reliable energy and agricultural partner.
Skor highlighted that U.S. bioethanol production now exceeds 10 billion gallons annually, with blending legal in all 50 states and exports poised to set another record this year. She said nations such as Canada, Brazil, India, and Japan are expanding their bioethanol use and trade, adding that higher global blends lift demand for U.S. corn and co-products like distillers grains. She also underscored ethanol’s decarbonization role, noting that American producers have reduced carbon intensity by 20 percent over 15 years through improved farming efficiency, water savings, and new technologies like carbon capture and sequestration.
Framing ethanol as a bridge between energy and agriculture policy, Skor said bioethanol “isn’t just a rural issue—it’s a trade tool.” With a $4 billion trade surplus in 2024, she urged other nations to prioritize ethanol partnerships with the U.S. “When we invest in bioethanol, we’re investing in the rural economy,” she said. “Supporting farmers, boosting GDP, and creating a supply chain that starts and stops on domestic soil.”
Farm-Level Takeaway: Growth Energy says expanding bioethanol use strengthens rural economies, supports farm markets, and positions U.S. agriculture at the center of global low-carbon trade.
